The atmospheric rivers set to arrive in California are being fed in part by a storm system sitting several hundred miles off the northern Pacific coast.

California is bracing for monumental weather conditions this week, with heavy rain, strong winds, snow and choppy surf expected thanks to a set of weather events known as a “bomb cyclone” and a series of “atmospheric rivers.”

Flood advisories are in effect for most of Northern and Central California.

Northern California already has seen a deluge of rain, due to a storm system that culminated in a wet New Year’s Eve, while other areas, such as the San Joaquin Valley, have seen winter weather advisories due to strong wind, rain and fog. Now there is “brutal” weather on the way.

An atmospheric river will arrive in California starting Wednesday and linger through Thursday, according to forecasters. Another is set to arrive Saturday. The weather events will raise the risk for flooding across already saturated areas. 

What is an atmospheric river?

The term is used to describe a flowing column of condensed water vapor that makes its way through the atmosphere. The atmospheric rivers that arrive in California flow over the Pacific Ocean, originating near Hawaii. The jet stream picks up moisture along the way, which can increase the amount of rainfall.

“The atmospheric river event is able to tap into the moisture over the Pacific and bring in higher moisture to California,” said Cory Mueller, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Sacramento.

When the stream hits California’s mountainous coasts, the atmospheric river pushes to higher altitudes to continue moving east. This tends to cool and condense the moisture in the tropical storm front, which then leads to rainfall.

This weekend saw record-breaking rainfall in the San Francisco Bay Area and surrounding region due to a strong atmospheric river. The slow-moving storm stalled over the region, according to meteorologists, leading to a steady downpour.

How does the atmospheric river fit into California’s water cycle?

In many ways, California depends on atmospheric rivers to bring water and snow to the state.

“It’s not crazy unusual to see a strong atmospheric river arrive during the water year,” Mueller said. “It’s when you get one after the other that it starts to become an issue.”

Extreme rainfall from atmospheric river events can wreak havoc on coastal regions.

In February 2017, a series of atmospheric river events bombarded Northern California, effectively ending a five-year drought. Reservoirs were filled to the brim, and the surrounding soil became over-saturated. The record-shattering rainfall severely taxed the state’s flood control network. Damage to spillways at Lake Oroville spurred the evacuation of more than 100,000 residents downstream from the dam.

But California saw drought conditions creep back in starting at the end of 2019 and into 2020.

What is a bomb cyclone?

The atmospheric rivers set to arrive in California are being fed in part by a storm system sitting several hundred miles off the northern Pacific coast. 

Meteorologists are already referring to the system as a “bomb cyclone” as it builds in intensity. “Bombogenesis” occurs when the system’s barometric pressure rapidly drops over a 24-hour period, generating a vacuum-like effect that funnels the storm and causes it to generate strong winds. In essence, the atmospheric rivers set to arrive will be accompanied by the bomb cyclone storm system. 

The storm expected to arrive Wednesday evening will generate both a warm front and a cold front. Forecasts show that moderate rains will give way to more intense and colder rain in the mountains along with snow and strong winds.

“You’re going to get really strong winds with this system,” Mueller said. “The winds are going to be 50 mph to 60 mph across the San Joaquin Valley.”

Meteorologists are warning travelers not to drive through floodwaters in their vehicles. They are also urging residents and visitors to be aware of hazardous surf and ocean conditions Wednesday through Friday in Los Angeles and Ventura counties, along with areas farther north. 

Officials warn that drivers should be aware of downed trees, debris flows and floods. The Los Angeles County Department of Public Health issued an advisory for elevated risk of bacteria due to significant rainfall.